Photo for EDIT2 on hurricanes Sept 12

On Monday, the guided-missile destroyer USS Nitze departed Naval Station Norfolk as Hurricane Florence drew ever closer to the East Coast.

So far, so good. As Hurricane Florence, in all its fierce fury, bears down on the East Coast and, most likely, a wet and windy date with much of Virginia, local governments, businesses, and citizens are quickly but calmly making preparations to weather the storm. Gov. Ralph Northam declared an emergency as soon as it became clear that Virginia was at risk, launching the complicated business of getting ready for the worst. His leadership as the storm approaches has been clear, consistent, and timely — a good omen for the coming challenges.

Schools and rescue squads, firefighters and police officers, electric companies and grocery stores, meteorologists and newspapers all do their part. Our colleagues in The Times-Dispatch newsroom report the latest mutations from the irascible Florence. A community comes together. It’s almost hard to imagine that only a few generations ago, hurricanes arrived with little warning, perhaps only a few words from an old-timer skilled at interpreting the skies. So it’s good to remember those who came before us whose work and ingenuity gave us the tools that will surely save countless lives this week.

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(4) comments

Steve Corneliussen

It's also a good reminder of the usefulness of computer modeling, a practice that usefully pervades modern technology and science, yet gets dissed because of the climate wars.

TOM EATON

Have you looked at the computer models forecasts placed on Doppler-esque graphics? Talk about your spaghetti noodles... computer models are literally all over the map. And patently useless for pin pointing landfall for hurricanes and the like.
Ditto "Climate Change".

PHILIP TRUE

Hurricane tracking models range widely when they are 10 or more days from potential landfall. But 5 days out the models usually agree--occasionally an outlier. The models have pinpointed Florence to hit near Wilmington, NC, for the past 4-5 days....Modeling hurricane is far different than predictions based on a variety of models and other statistical techniques for long-term climatic changes.

Steve Corneliussen

Leaving aside the hopeless discussion about models in the climate wars, if Mr. Eaton is saying that models are not widely useful across technology and science, he foolishly doesn’t know what he is talking about.

Welcome to the discussion.

Please keep it clean, turn off CAPS LOCK and don't threaten anyone. Be truthful, nice and proactive. Comments cannot be edited or deleted once posted. To flag a comment to the page administrator, click “report” next to that comment.

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